Data Provenance & Lineage
Source: Maricopa County Recorder Public Deeds
Dataset: City of Surprise Closed Residential Deeds
Period: August 2026
Methodology: Median transaction price of single-family detached sales in Surprise.
Family-forward West Valley center with tree-lined master plans and spring training
Surprise provides attainable family living, modern recreational amenities, and walkable neighborhoods like Marley Park, with fast transit via the Loop 303. Reporting Period: August 2026 • Classification: Balanced Market.
Source: Maricopa County Recorder Public Deeds
Dataset: City of Surprise Closed Residential Deeds
Period: August 2026
Methodology: Median transaction price of single-family detached sales in Surprise.
Source: Maricopa County Assessor Records
Dataset: Surprise Closed Sales SqFt Ratio
Period: August 2026
Methodology: Average price per square foot across closed sales.
Source: Tamara Market Analytics Engine
Dataset: Deterministic Absorption Index
Period: August 2026
Methodology: 780 active listings / 230 monthly closed sales = 3.4 months.
Source: Maricopa County Housing Inventory Audit
Dataset: Surprise Active Supply
Period: August 2026
Methodology: Active single-family listings at month-end.
Source: Maricopa County Recorder Public Deeds
Dataset: Surprise Closed Deeds
Period: August 2026
Methodology: Arms-length residential sales recorded in August 2026.
Source: West Valley Listing Velocity Audit
Dataset: Days to Contract
Period: August 2026
Methodology: Median days to contract.
Marley Park in 85379 commands the highest price stability in Surprise, with its unique tree-lined communal greenbelts and porch culture insulating it from broader price dips.
Verified from recorded deed transfers in Surprise through August 2026. Refreshed monthly.
Median: $410,000 • Supply: 3.1 months
Median: $435,000 • Supply: 3.3 months
Median: $420,000 • Supply: 3.5 months
Median: $425,000 • Supply: 3.8 months
Raw data verified from public records, analyzed through deterministic models, and synthesized with local East & West Valley insights. No spam, no sales calls.